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Red75
432942.8
319315.2
966816.5
Blue64
696428.5
976715.1
131718.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98672040801201401607564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
9Coral scored#8
32Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
52Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
6Foul points0
75Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#10
42.81.2
40.939.7
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End1.1
red by 14.2
6964
#16
28.50.5
23.724.1
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End5.8
Second
9668
#19
16.52.0
15.613.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End2.8
blue by 1.4
1317
#37
18.00.5
18.218.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End0.5
Third
3193
#41
15.22.0
24.022.1
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End2.6
Level
9767
#40
15.10.3
12.813.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed