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Red124
381419.8
14440.9
603227.8
Blue132
225242.8
822214.8
201050.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83117050100150200124132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+26
Endgame+6
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +9
16Coral scored#18
58Coral points65
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
18Processor points12
8Net points16
26Algae points28
84Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#5
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#29
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points2
124Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#18
40.93.1
39.142.2
Auto6.3
Teleop28.0
End6.5
blue by 9.5
50.42.0
49.151.1
Auto9.3
Teleop34.8
End6.3
Second
6032
#15
27.84.8
22.527.4
Auto6.4
Teleop16.9
End4.4
blue by 15.1
2252
#39
42.82.0
41.343.3
Auto12.1
Teleop30.6
End0.1
Third
3814
#17
19.83.1
15.718.8
Auto4.1
Teleop11.7
End4.1
red by 5.0
8222
#32
14.83.1
9.912.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed