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Red63
814511.2
313819.7
493032.1
Blue77
136921.3
381419.8
1001122.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72740501001502002506377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave3
2Coral scored#1
8Coral points6
17Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
4Coral scored#7
16Coral points24
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
34Total teleop48
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
8Foul points6
63Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4930
#27
32.10.5
29.729.2
Auto7.1
Teleop23.0
End1.9
red by 9.9
22.20.5
20.821.3
Auto5.0
Teleop15.3
End1.8
Second
3138
#36
19.70.5
18.017.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End2.6
blue by 1.6
1369
#45
21.30.5
20.821.3
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End3.0
Third
8145
#46
11.20.6
11.911.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 8.6
3814
#17
19.80.5
19.119.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned