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Red87
566716.9
959741.6
752522.1
Blue54
225242.8
12025.6
319315.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8410140601201401608754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+31Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points33
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
65Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
87Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9597
#11
41.60.1
41.441.5
Auto7.0
Teleop32.3
End2.3
blue by 1.3
2252
#39
42.83.1
45.542.4
Auto12.1
Teleop30.6
End0.1
Second
7525
#20
22.10.1
22.022.1
Auto7.6
Teleop12.8
End1.7
blue by 3.5
120
#24
25.64.1
29.825.6
Auto3.0
Teleop19.7
End2.9
Third
5667
#25
16.90.1
16.816.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.6
red by 1.7
3193
#41
15.24.1
19.315.2
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed