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Red53
43221.9
966816.5
54719.9
Blue77
103818.4
201050.4
907519.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77120501001505377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+40
Endgame+28
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +37
4Coral scored#11
14Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
22Total teleop59
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points2
53Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
432
#34
21.91.0
20.919.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.7
End5.3
blue by 28.5
50.41.2
50.349.1
Auto9.3
Teleop34.8
End6.3
Second
547
#35
19.91.4
21.219.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End4.5
red by 0.6
9075
#42
19.21.6
20.919.2
Auto1.8
Teleop13.3
End4.1
Third
9668
#19
16.51.4
17.115.8
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End2.8
blue by 1.9
1038
#31
18.41.2
19.618.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed