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Red128
178761.8
37932.7
814017.3
Blue98
919416.6
460120.5
260344.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1278305010015020012898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
19Coral scored#12
67Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
91Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#4
8L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points6
128Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.9
61.762.6
Auto11.8
Teleop40.4
End9.6
red by 17.2
44.60.4
43.043.5
Auto9.1
Teleop26.2
End9.3
Second
379
#12
32.70.9
32.133.0
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End6.7
red by 12.3
4601
#16
20.50.4
20.721.2
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End2.5
Third
8140
#20
17.30.9
15.616.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End2.1
red by 0.7
9194
#22
16.60.4
15.916.3
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned