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Red141
461166.9
201033.9
37932.7
Blue135
319335.9
87188.3
178761.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171106050150200250141135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+16Teleop
+8Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points4
34Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +5
20Coral scored#18
73Coral points66
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
18Processor points18
12Net points24
30Algae points42
103Total teleop108
Reef
11L4#6
8L3#6
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points2
141Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.90.6
70.770.0
Auto17.4
Teleop43.9
End5.6
red by 5.1
61.81.7
65.767.5
Auto11.8
Teleop40.4
End9.6
Second
33.90.6
40.539.9
Auto5.4
Teleop24.7
End3.9
blue by 2.0
3193
#14
35.91.7
25.827.5
Auto5.4
Teleop28.6
End2.0
Third
379
#12
32.70.6
36.535.8
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End6.7
red by 24.4
8718
#23
8.32.1
12.314.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed