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Red119
260344.6
99995.3
37932.7
Blue96
87188.3
414561.5
919416.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10412505015020025030011996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+1Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
20Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +8
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
73Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#22
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
119Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.61.3
47.448.6
Auto9.1
Teleop26.2
End9.3
blue by 16.9
61.51.2
69.568.2
Auto16.9
Teleop39.8
End4.8
Second
379
#12
32.71.3
35.837.1
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End6.7
red by 16.1
9194
#22
16.61.2
19.418.1
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Third
9999
#21
5.32.1
8.010.1
Auto3.7
Teleop-0.3
End1.9
blue by 3.0
8718
#23
8.31.4
14.513.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed