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Red142
414561.5
265616.4
574045.9
Blue155
822227.1
319335.9
541327.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16687050150200250142155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+13Teleop
Endgame+11
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
23Coral scored#23
81Coral points83
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
24Processor points12
16Net points16
40Algae points28
121Total teleop111
Reef
9L4#12
8L3#5
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points2
142Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.50.1
63.062.9
Auto16.9
Teleop39.8
End4.8
red by 25.5
3193
#14
35.91.3
31.633.0
Auto5.4
Teleop28.6
End2.0
Second
45.90.1
47.447.3
Auto14.7
Teleop21.6
End9.6
red by 18.5
5413
#13
27.41.3
23.124.4
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End6.4
Third
2656
#19
16.40.1
17.917.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End0.3
blue by 10.6
8222
#10
27.11.3
22.724.1
Auto2.0
Teleop17.8
End7.2