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Red101
4840.5
999814.4
239943.1
Blue129
414561.5
265616.4
574045.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98164050150200250101129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+26
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
26Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +21
13Coral scored#13
45Coral points46
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
59Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#4
3L3#7
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points2
101Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#18
43.10.1
43.243.1
Auto10.2
Teleop28.8
End4.0
blue by 18.4
61.50.2
62.962.6
Auto16.9
Teleop39.8
End4.8
Second
48
#15
40.50.1
40.640.5
Auto8.6
Teleop24.5
End7.4
blue by 5.5
45.90.2
47.347.1
Auto14.7
Teleop21.6
End9.6
Third
9998
#11
14.40.2
14.614.4
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End2.6
blue by 2.0
2656
#19
16.40.2
17.817.6
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End0.3