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Red88
237337.8
208334.2
316314.5
Blue78
181923.3
346529.7
372922.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93620501502002508878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+16Endgame
+10Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +4
12Coral scored#12
43Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
61Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points6
88Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.6
23.424.0
Auto6.3
Teleop27.2
End4.2
red by 8.1
3465
#27
29.70.6
20.621.2
Auto4.6
Teleop22.6
End2.6
Second
2083
#39
34.20.5
34.034.5
Auto6.9
Teleop24.3
End3.0
red by 10.9
1819
#22
23.30.6
18.118.7
Auto4.2
Teleop17.2
End1.9
Third
3163
#21
14.50.6
19.319.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End1.3
blue by 7.7
3729
#34
22.30.7
19.720.4
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed