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Red92
346529.7
216528.3
317935.7
Blue97
3128.0
176435.8
1037710.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12693501502009297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+5Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +9
16Coral scored#16
57Coral points58
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
6Processor points0
16Net points12
22Algae points12
79Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#8
3L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
92Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3179
#24
35.71.2
34.032.8
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End4.1
blue by 0.1
1764
#18
35.80.7
34.435.1
Auto8.3
Teleop25.3
End2.2
Second
3465
#27
29.71.2
28.927.7
Auto4.6
Teleop22.6
End2.6
red by 1.7
31
#15
28.00.7
24.224.9
Auto3.6
Teleop18.0
End6.3
Third
2165
#38
28.31.2
29.127.9
Auto4.1
Teleop23.1
End1.2
red by 17.8
10.51.0
12.313.3
Auto2.0
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned