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Red105
400546.0
156147.2
946217.3
Blue81
642452.7
1021928.7
234120.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8210605015010581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+10Teleop
+30Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
56Total teleop53
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#16
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points6
105Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.23.5
32.836.3
Auto11.3
Teleop30.9
End5.0
blue by 5.5
52.71.1
48.447.4
Auto12.7
Teleop30.4
End9.6
Second
46.03.5
25.128.6
Auto7.4
Teleop29.7
End8.9
red by 17.3
28.71.3
24.122.8
Auto2.4
Teleop25.1
End1.2
Third
9462
#14
17.33.5
15.519.0
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End3.2
blue by 2.7
2341
#22
20.11.1
18.517.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned