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Red48
871114.5
208012.2
545431.2
Blue88
181918.0
81127.8
156147.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8191601001201404888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+44
Endgame+34
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +37
2Coral scored#9
8Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
16Total teleop53
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
0L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points6
48Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#18
31.22.8
31.428.7
Auto8.3
Teleop20.0
End2.9
blue by 16.0
47.20.3
47.047.2
Auto11.3
Teleop30.9
End5.0
Second
8711
#13
14.52.8
18.916.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.0
End4.1
blue by 3.5
1819
#27
18.00.3
21.021.3
Auto3.2
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Third
2080
#30
12.22.8
16.713.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End1.8
red by 4.4
8112
#20
7.80.2
6.56.6
Auto5.7
Teleop0.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed