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Red43
234120.1
366023.6
970113.6
Blue37
1066117.5
903113.2
963111.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594801001502002503003504004337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+4Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +2
5Coral scored#5
19Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
25Total teleop27
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
43Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3660
#11
23.61.2
22.821.6
Auto4.1
Teleop14.6
End4.9
red by 6.2
17.51.0
18.917.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.1
Second
2341
#22
20.10.8
17.016.2
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.7
red by 6.9
9031
#15
13.20.6
11.911.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End2.1
Third
9701
#29
13.61.2
12.211.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End1.1
red by 2.1
9631
#37
11.51.0
12.611.6
Auto1.9
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed