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Red94
602621.6
238345.6
1067414.4
Blue120
346514.9
642452.7
366023.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829820406012014094120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
Endgame+14
Fouls+26
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +12
8Coral scored#17
27Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
59Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#8
1L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points12
94Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.61.2
41.642.8
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End10.4
blue by 7.1
52.71.6
48.349.9
Auto12.7
Teleop30.4
End9.6
Second
6026
#19
21.61.9
18.220.1
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End1.6
blue by 2.0
3660
#11
23.62.3
21.623.9
Auto4.1
Teleop14.6
End4.9
Third
14.41.8
12.914.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
blue by 0.4
3465
#28
14.92.5
11.113.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned