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Red55
924416.7
234120.1
400546.0
Blue58
970113.6
238345.6
393121.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64900501001505558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+13
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
6Coral scored#6
22Coral points20
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
0Processor points12
8Net points4
8Algae points16
30Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
55Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.6
22.521.8
Auto7.4
Teleop29.7
End8.9
red by 0.4
45.61.9
36.835.0
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End10.4
Second
2341
#22
20.10.4
20.620.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.7
blue by 1.9
3931
#25
21.92.3
25.923.5
Auto4.2
Teleop17.5
End0.3
Third
9244
#24
16.70.6
17.617.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End3.4
red by 3.0
9701
#29
13.62.3
16.314.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed