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Red103
313035.4
400546.0
946217.3
Blue120
239517.2
1021928.7
216530.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11090050150200103120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+21
+1Endgame
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
26Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +34
9Coral scored#17
31Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
51Total teleop85
Reef
5L4#9
3L3#6
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#23
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points18
103Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.1
44.444.4
Auto7.4
Teleop29.7
End8.9
red by 15.9
2165
#23
30.10.1
29.930.1
Auto4.5
Teleop23.2
End2.5
Second
35.40.1
33.833.7
Auto3.4
Teleop25.2
End6.9
red by 6.7
28.70.1
28.628.7
Auto2.4
Teleop25.1
End1.2
Third
9462
#14
17.30.1
15.815.7
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End3.2
red by 0.2
2395
#10
17.20.1
17.017.2
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End2.1