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Red249
368398.3
128539.7
447676.1
Blue215
132567.7
755874.8
373951.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224196100150250300350249215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+16Endgame
+34Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
10Coral scored#10
48Coral points48
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +14
35Coral scored#27
126Coral points98
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#10
18Processor points12
20Net points40
38Algae points52
164Total teleop150
Reef
16L4#9
16L3#15
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#8
53Game pieces#49
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +34
18Foul points0
249Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.30.4
97.898.3
Auto26.5
Teleop66.3
End5.4
red by 23.5
74.80.5
74.274.8
Auto19.6
Teleop44.7
End10.5
Second
76.10.4
75.776.1
Auto19.7
Teleop53.6
End2.9
red by 8.5
67.70.5
67.267.7
Auto19.0
Teleop43.5
End5.2
Third
1285
#31
39.70.4
39.339.7
Auto7.6
Teleop31.2
End0.9
blue by 11.5
3739
#21
51.20.5
50.751.2
Auto9.0
Teleop39.8
End2.4