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Red174
747530.1
124178.2
663231.6
Blue69
775715.4
926315.3
1021824.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17257010015020025017469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+83Teleop
+93Endgame
+105Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave9
6Coral scored#0
28Coral points0
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +55
24Coral scored#11
87Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
107Total teleop52
Reef
12L4#5
9L3#3
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +105
14Foul points2
174Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.20.0
77.177.1
Auto22.0
Teleop53.6
End2.6
red by 54.1
24.10.9
23.222.3
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End1.9
Second
6632
#24
31.60.0
30.330.3
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End7.6
red by 16.2
7757
#50
15.40.9
20.419.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
7475
#42
30.10.0
32.132.1
Auto3.6
Teleop24.8
End1.6
red by 14.8
9263
#41
15.30.9
14.113.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
56%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed