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Red176
1021824.1
503239.2
124178.2
Blue239
130531.8
368398.3
888471.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144221100200250300176239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+43
Endgame+61
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +25
9Leave3
6Coral scored#12
31Coral points62
40Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +18
22Coral scored#32
78Coral points116
2Processor algae#2
10Net algae#5
12Processor points12
40Net points20
52Algae points32
130Total teleop148
Reef
13L4#22
8L3#8
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#9
40Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points2
176Total score239

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.22.2
77.179.3
Auto22.0
Teleop53.6
End2.6
blue by 20.1
98.31.9
96.097.9
Auto26.5
Teleop66.3
End5.4
Second
5032
#30
39.22.2
31.834.1
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End0.5
blue by 32.6
71.81.9
71.773.6
Auto18.3
Teleop47.1
End6.3
Third
24.12.2
22.324.5
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End1.9
blue by 7.7
1305
#17
31.81.9
29.231.2
Auto10.8
Teleop19.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned89%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned