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Red170
663231.6
447676.1
591242.6
Blue168
136051.2
403968.6
834928.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151141100120160180200170168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+12Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points34
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +19
29Coral scored#27
104Coral points97
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
136Total teleop117
Reef
13L4#11
12L3#13
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
170Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.11.3
70.371.5
Auto19.7
Teleop53.6
End2.9
red by 7.5
68.61.7
61.763.4
Auto20.1
Teleop42.5
End6.1
Second
5912
#39
42.61.3
40.241.5
Auto9.9
Teleop32.5
End0.2
blue by 8.6
1360
#18
51.21.7
44.846.5
Auto12.2
Teleop35.9
End3.0
Third
6632
#24
31.61.3
26.728.0
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End7.6
red by 3.0
8349
#15
28.71.7
22.424.1
Auto5.5
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned