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Red149
132567.7
1001521.5
86558.7
Blue167
128539.7
663231.6
368398.3
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147189100200250149167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
9Coral scored#7
47Coral points35
47Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +9
19Coral scored#15
70Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#10
12Processor points12
16Net points40
28Algae points52
98Total teleop107
Reef
10L4#8
8L3#6
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points12
149Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.70.7
61.562.2
Auto19.0
Teleop43.5
End5.2
blue by 30.6
98.31.0
97.296.3
Auto26.5
Teleop66.3
End5.4
Second
865
#13
58.70.7
56.357.0
Auto15.2
Teleop34.6
End8.9
red by 18.9
1285
#31
39.71.0
39.738.7
Auto7.6
Teleop31.2
End0.9
Third
21.50.7
20.821.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.8
blue by 10.1
6632
#24
31.61.0
32.631.6
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed74%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsMissed