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Red153
697843.6
906236.0
85432.7
Blue190
494686.9
1027929.1
430843.1
4%Model gave it96%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10918250150200250153190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+25
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave9
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points21
28Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +23
20Coral scored#25
71Coral points90
3Processor algae#5
8Net algae#6
18Processor points30
32Net points24
50Algae points54
121Total teleop144
Reef
10L4#13
7L3#6
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
153Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6978
#15
43.62.3
41.343.6
Auto7.7
Teleop34.3
End1.7
blue by 43.4
86.91.3
85.486.8
Auto20.8
Teleop55.4
End10.7
Second
9062
#22
36.02.3
33.736.0
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End0.9
blue by 7.1
4308
#29
43.11.3
41.843.1
Auto8.4
Teleop32.6
End2.1
Third
854
#41
32.72.3
30.432.7
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End8.2
red by 3.6
29.11.3
27.829.1
Auto6.2
Teleop21.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned80%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned