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Red125
497652.4
808142.3
747644.2
Blue164
540989.3
131049.7
956220.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131155100200250125164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+51
Endgame+41
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave0
3Coral scored#9
14Coral points44
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +30
14Coral scored#18
50Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
68Total teleop98
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#9
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
8Foul points6
125Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#20
52.40.3
46.746.4
Auto14.6
Teleop30.6
End7.2
blue by 36.9
89.31.0
83.184.1
Auto25.2
Teleop61.1
End3.0
Second
7476
#19
44.20.3
40.540.3
Auto6.6
Teleop34.7
End3.0
blue by 5.5
1310
#27
49.71.0
40.341.4
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End9.2
Third
8081
#26
42.30.3
33.633.4
Auto8.1
Teleop24.6
End9.7
red by 21.8
9562
#49
20.51.0
19.220.2
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned