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Red114
771238.7
956220.5
909863.9
Blue190
686536.3
467897.4
111482.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10622650150200250300114190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+92
Endgame+84
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave3
5Coral scored#9
24Coral points44
27Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +72
9Coral scored#25
31Coral points89
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
55Total teleop127
Reef
5L4#15
5L3#7
2L2#8
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#42
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
8Foul points0
114Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.90.5
62.862.3
Auto15.5
Teleop36.4
End11.9
blue by 33.5
97.41.0
98.797.7
Auto26.2
Teleop61.2
End9.9
Second
7712
#33
38.70.5
31.030.4
Auto6.6
Teleop28.2
End3.9
blue by 43.5
82.21.0
74.773.8
Auto20.1
Teleop56.2
End5.9
Third
9562
#49
20.50.5
20.019.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.6
blue by 15.7
6865
#37
36.31.0
31.030.1
Auto5.7
Teleop29.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned