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Red171
375627.3
567237.0
220079.9
Blue102
1027929.1
790242.1
956220.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1719450150200250171102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+81Teleop
+69Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
26Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +73
28Coral scored#13
99Coral points48
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
18Processor points12
24Net points8
42Algae points20
141Total teleop68
Reef
10L4#5
8L3#4
7L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points0
171Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.90.7
80.280.9
Auto23.8
Teleop54.6
End1.6
red by 37.8
7902
#31
42.10.5
43.843.3
Auto10.9
Teleop23.6
End7.6
Second
5672
#28
37.00.7
32.232.8
Auto5.4
Teleop26.3
End5.2
red by 7.9
29.10.5
23.523.0
Auto6.2
Teleop21.4
End1.6
Third
3756
#48
27.30.7
25.726.4
Auto1.2
Teleop21.6
End4.4
red by 6.7
9562
#49
20.50.5
19.919.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned