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Red116
122935.4
78152.3
567237.0
Blue164
430843.1
587033.5
720046.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122128100140160180116164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+34
Endgame+46
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points21
16Total auto21
TeleoperatedBlue +29
19Coral scored#17
68Coral points61
2Processor algae#6
4Net algae#7
12Processor points36
16Net points28
28Algae points64
96Total teleop125
Reef
9L4#7
5L3#6
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points2
116Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#17
52.30.3
48.548.8
Auto11.1
Teleop39.0
End2.2
red by 5.7
7200
#14
46.63.0
41.144.1
Auto6.6
Teleop34.4
End5.5
Second
5672
#28
37.00.3
32.833.2
Auto5.4
Teleop26.3
End5.2
blue by 6.1
4308
#29
43.13.0
38.541.6
Auto8.4
Teleop32.6
End2.1
Third
1229
#38
35.40.3
26.727.1
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
red by 1.9
5870
#42
33.53.0
34.137.2
Auto4.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned