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Red211
205699.4
906217.4
124178.3
Blue206
368375.5
467881.2
591236.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218208050100150250300350400211206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+13Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
12Coral scored#10
62Coral points49
65Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +6
26Coral scored#23
94Coral points82
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#7
12Processor points18
28Net points28
40Algae points46
134Total teleop128
Reef
18L4#13
6L3#6
8L2#9
6L1 · trough#5
47Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points6
211Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#11
99.40.2
99.299.4
Auto28.5
Teleop60.8
End10.0
red by 18.2
81.20.2
81.081.2
Auto25.0
Teleop47.1
End9.1
Second
78.30.2
78.178.3
Auto26.4
Teleop50.4
End1.5
red by 2.8
75.50.2
75.375.5
Auto24.4
Teleop48.7
End2.5
Third
9062
#23
17.40.2
17.117.4
Auto1.1
Teleop15.0
End1.3
blue by 18.7
5912
#27
36.10.2
35.936.1
Auto9.4
Teleop26.0
End0.6