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Red129
490768.6
591236.1
61049.9
Blue216
399069.6
686521.5
716666.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1951770100300400129216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
Teleop+69
Endgame+83
Fouls+87
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave9
11Coral scored#5
54Coral points25
54Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +89
11Coral scored#30
41Coral points108
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
12Processor points18
8Net points24
20Algae points42
61Total teleop150
Reef
9L4#12
6L3#11
5L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +14
12Cage & park26
12Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
2Foul points6
129Total score216

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.63.9
75.071.1
Auto17.2
Teleop41.9
End9.4
blue by 1.0
69.62.7
69.672.3
Auto16.8
Teleop43.7
End9.1
Second
610
#19
49.93.9
60.856.8
Auto16.2
Teleop27.9
End5.7
blue by 16.2
66.12.7
64.066.7
Auto12.1
Teleop46.9
End7.1
Third
5912
#27
36.13.9
39.235.2
Auto9.4
Teleop26.0
End0.6
red by 14.6
6865
#18
21.52.7
24.427.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned