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Red95
430832.0
136044.9
415268.0
Blue82
86524.0
672532.8
999726.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184670501001502002503009582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
24Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
59Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
6Foul points6
95Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.04.6
71.066.4
Auto21.1
Teleop39.4
End7.4
red by 35.2
6725
#17
32.80.8
30.531.3
Auto8.2
Teleop23.3
End1.2
Second
44.94.6
48.243.7
Auto9.1
Teleop31.6
End4.1
red by 18.8
9997
#14
26.11.3
10.611.9
Auto10.1
Teleop14.8
End1.2
Third
4308
#12
32.04.6
38.133.5
Auto6.1
Teleop24.1
End1.7
red by 8.0
865
#16
24.00.8
23.023.8
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed