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Red88
540663.9
18848.1
1016721.5
Blue128
760319.2
132547.7
238630.8
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1365810015020088128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+48
Endgame+38
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave0
5Coral scored#7
26Coral points34
26Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +40
11Coral scored#19
38Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
48Total teleop88
Reef
8L4#10
3L3#9
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points2
88Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.93.0
50.847.8
Auto13.1
Teleop41.1
End9.7
red by 16.2
47.73.2
27.430.6
Auto12.6
Teleop32.0
End3.2
Second
188
#19
48.13.0
47.144.2
Auto14.2
Teleop29.3
End4.6
red by 17.3
2386
#22
30.83.2
20.723.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End1.9
Third
21.53.0
19.316.3
Auto4.7
Teleop15.9
End0.9
red by 2.3
7603
#17
19.23.2
12.215.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed