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Red130
765930.9
747532.0
611033.6
Blue128
430837.4
697838.0
238630.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96115406080140160180130128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+10
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave3
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points28
16Total auto31
TeleoperatedRed +5
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points67
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
6Processor points6
20Net points20
26Algae points26
98Total teleop93
Reef
9L4#9
6L3#6
3L2#7
5L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
130Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6110
#21
33.60.8
32.433.2
Auto5.8
Teleop25.6
End2.3
blue by 4.4
6978
#13
38.00.5
37.538.0
Auto3.4
Teleop33.4
End1.3
Second
7475
#27
32.00.8
30.731.5
Auto2.5
Teleop26.4
End3.0
blue by 5.5
37.40.5
36.937.4
Auto8.5
Teleop26.8
End2.1
Third
7659
#10
30.90.8
29.630.5
Auto4.2
Teleop19.0
End7.7
red by 0.1
2386
#22
30.80.5
30.330.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End1.9