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Red26
639713.4
720023.4
878911.2
Blue33
698710.5
122922.5
132518.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66892040801001201402633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+1
Endgame+9
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +2
4Coral scored#3
13Coral points9
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
17Total teleop15
Reef
1L4#1
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
2Foul points0
26Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7200
#14
23.44.6
22.317.7
Auto2.6
Teleop19.7
End1.1
red by 0.9
22.55.4
17.812.4
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Second
6397
#28
13.44.6
18.113.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End1.5
blue by 5.4
1325
#27
18.85.4
39.433.9
Auto3.4
Teleop13.3
End2.1
Third
8789
#23
11.24.6
19.715.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End2.3
red by 0.7
6987
#25
10.55.4
19.213.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed