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Red72
540960.7
957516.7
130517.5
Blue57
909837.8
698710.5
878911.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8657020401001201407257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+27Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
20Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +20
11Coral scored#6
40Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
52Total teleop32
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +12
0Cage & park12
0Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
72Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.70.6
45.845.3
Auto12.4
Teleop44.8
End3.5
red by 22.9
37.80.0
34.734.6
Auto7.5
Teleop21.7
End8.6
Second
1305
#22
17.50.6
20.119.5
Auto2.5
Teleop13.5
End1.5
red by 6.4
8789
#23
11.20.0
8.08.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End2.3
Third
9575
#12
16.70.6
11.210.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.6
red by 6.2
6987
#25
10.50.0
14.514.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed