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Red80
611021.9
415247.3
130517.5
Blue85
124143.1
957516.7
956919.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1018240601201401608085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
9Coral scored#10
32Coral points36
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
46Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
18Foul points2
80Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.32.2
48.446.2
Auto11.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
red by 4.2
43.10.4
43.043.4
Auto9.5
Teleop30.6
End3.0
Second
6110
#15
21.92.2
23.921.7
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End0.8
red by 2.1
9569
#19
19.90.4
18.619.0
Auto1.5
Teleop15.9
End2.5
Third
1305
#22
17.52.2
19.517.3
Auto2.5
Teleop13.5
End1.5
red by 0.8
9575
#12
16.70.4
16.416.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed