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Red98
415261.8
685921.2
77115.6
Blue111
1046411.9
293552.9
24438.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829820406012014016098111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+13
Endgame+11
Fouls+13
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +13
8Coral scored#13
28Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
52Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points2
98Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.81.7
48.850.5
Auto16.2
Teleop38.6
End7.1
red by 8.9
52.91.5
44.045.5
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End5.7
Second
21.21.7
18.620.3
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End5.7
blue by 17.2
244
#15
38.41.5
35.637.1
Auto5.8
Teleop27.5
End5.1
Third
771
#30
15.61.7
5.57.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.5
red by 3.7
11.91.5
6.47.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned