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Red96
131040.3
77115.6
375622.6
Blue115
698719.2
293552.9
133419.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691002040608012014016096115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+17
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +7
14Coral scored#18
51Coral points66
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
69Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
96Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.31.7
32.634.3
Auto6.1
Teleop26.3
End8.0
blue by 12.6
52.91.9
47.148.9
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End5.7
Second
3756
#26
22.62.6
18.120.7
Auto2.1
Teleop17.5
End3.0
red by 2.8
1334
#27
19.82.9
18.020.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End2.2
Third
771
#30
15.61.7
8.510.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.5
blue by 3.6
6987
#19
19.21.9
15.717.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned