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Qual 522025 ONT District North Bay Event
Red118
406941.2
912729.3
293552.9
Blue160
540982.6
873116.5
86549.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12514480100160180200220118160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+30
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points35
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +23
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points62
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
6Processor points18
4Net points20
10Algae points38
77Total teleop100
Reef
7L4#10
11L3#6
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
118Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2935
#5
52.90.3
49.0→48.7
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End5.7
blue by 29.7
5409
#2
82.61.8
78.0→79.7
Auto22.6
Teleop55.7
End4.4
Second
4069
#6
41.20.3
41.0→40.7
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End2.2
blue by 8.6
865
#7
49.81.8
41.3→43.1
Auto14.1
Teleop27.6
End8.2
Third
9127
#12
29.30.3
32.4→32.2
Auto7.3
Teleop20.8
End1.2
red by 12.8
8731
#22
16.51.8
14.1→15.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned