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Red188
494676.5
61059.0
698719.2
Blue103
406941.2
131040.3
77115.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1709850150200250188103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+73Teleop
+73Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
0Leave9
10Coral scored#2
51Coral points10
51Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +41
24Coral scored#13
87Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
111Total teleop70
Reef
14L4#5
8L3#5
7L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +85
12Foul points0
188Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.50.6
74.074.6
Auto20.7
Teleop47.2
End8.6
red by 35.3
41.20.2
40.840.9
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End2.2
Second
610
#1
59.00.6
56.557.1
Auto13.6
Teleop39.7
End5.7
red by 18.6
40.30.2
39.840.0
Auto6.1
Teleop26.3
End8.0
Third
6987
#19
19.20.6
16.717.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End2.1
red by 3.6
771
#30
15.60.2
14.815.0
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.5