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Red172
888460.9
873116.7
447670.3
Blue147
490753.0
285223.3
540645.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154115100200172147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+35Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
10Coral scored#5
51Coral points24
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +14
16Coral scored#15
57Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
9Net algae#6
12Processor points12
36Net points24
48Algae points36
105Total teleop91
Reef
8L4#10
8L3#4
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
172Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.6
68.669.3
Auto21.7
Teleop45.2
End3.4
red by 17.3
53.00.7
51.752.3
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End8.4
Second
60.90.6
59.259.9
Auto12.9
Teleop41.8
End6.1
red by 15.7
45.20.7
43.844.5
Auto10.1
Teleop26.5
End8.5
Third
8731
#26
16.70.6
15.015.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End1.3
blue by 6.6
2852
#31
23.30.7
21.922.6
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End0.3