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Red146
490753.0
285223.3
540645.2
Blue73
1001514.5
491744.4
503129.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122875010015020014673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+45Teleop
+65Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave6
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
15Coral scored#13
53Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
75Total teleop58
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#4
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#16
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +73
8Foul points0
146Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.5
51.251.7
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End8.4
red by 8.6
44.40.3
44.444.1
Auto9.8
Teleop28.0
End6.6
Second
45.20.5
43.343.8
Auto10.1
Teleop26.5
End8.5
red by 15.8
5031
#14
29.40.3
29.429.1
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.7
Third
2852
#31
23.30.5
21.421.9
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End0.3
red by 8.8
14.50.3
14.514.2
Auto6.5
Teleop5.0
End3.0