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Red152
885017.5
270247.4
467886.9
Blue86
447669.4
293540.1
1001516.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1921595010025015286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+48Teleop
+60Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +34
19Coral scored#13
70Coral points48
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
100Total teleop66
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
6Foul points0
152Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.92.0
94.092.0
Auto25.9
Teleop51.0
End10.0
red by 17.5
69.44.6
78.273.7
Auto14.4
Teleop51.1
End4.0
Second
47.42.0
56.754.7
Auto6.7
Teleop35.3
End5.4
red by 7.3
2935
#12
40.14.6
47.743.2
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.9
Third
8850
#22
17.52.0
20.218.2
Auto2.6
Teleop13.6
End1.3
red by 1.3
16.24.6
22.417.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed