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Red178
999025.4
368392.5
956931.0
Blue57
906223.9
86531.6
99968.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16510105015020025017857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+83Teleop
+97Endgame
+121Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +62
21Coral scored#9
74Coral points32
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
108Total teleop46
Reef
8L4#4
8L3#3
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#13
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +121
24Foul points0
178Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.50.5
93.994.4
Auto25.0
Teleop61.3
End6.3
red by 60.9
865
#23
31.63.6
53.449.8
Auto9.3
Teleop18.3
End4.2
Second
31.00.5
30.531.0
Auto4.5
Teleop24.3
End2.2
red by 7.1
9062
#20
23.93.6
32.729.1
Auto5.6
Teleop18.6
End-0.1
Third
9990
#11
25.40.9
15.616.5
Auto4.7
Teleop16.6
End3.6
red by 17.1
9996
#14
8.46.0
19.213.3
Auto0.1
Teleop6.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
47%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed