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Red120
540660.6
1001516.2
956931.0
Blue126
909847.0
18846.1
790232.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123149050100200250300350120126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+10
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#14
34Coral points50
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
68Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +6
6Foul points2
120Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.1
61.261.3
Auto14.7
Teleop37.5
End8.4
red by 13.7
9098
#10
47.00.1
47.747.6
Auto11.3
Teleop25.0
End10.7
Second
31.00.1
31.631.7
Auto4.5
Teleop24.3
End2.2
blue by 15.1
188
#13
46.10.1
46.946.8
Auto16.2
Teleop25.5
End4.5
Third
16.20.1
16.816.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.0
blue by 16.4
7902
#19
32.60.1
33.433.3
Auto2.8
Teleop24.2
End5.5