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Red112
790230.3
368379.1
559612.9
Blue111
999415.0
999314.3
755871.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157110050200250112111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
Endgame+11
+1Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +7
14Coral scored#16
50Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
70Total teleop77
Reef
11L4#8
3L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
12Foul points0
112Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.13.1
86.683.5
Auto24.4
Teleop50.8
End4.1
red by 8.1
71.00.9
61.562.4
Auto15.0
Teleop44.3
End11.8
Second
30.33.1
31.328.2
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.7
red by 15.3
9994
#16
15.01.5
5.06.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End-0.1
Third
12.93.1
17.414.3
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End1.6
blue by 1.4
9993
#15
14.31.5
19.621.1
Auto6.2
Teleop7.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsMissed