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Red98
790230.3
18856.3
999415.0
Blue108
999314.3
559612.9
132575.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11710505015020098108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+14
Endgame+2
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points21
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#10
31Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
55Total teleop65
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
6Foul points14
98Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#4
56.30.4
52.452.7
Auto17.8
Teleop32.7
End5.9
blue by 19.1
75.40.5
69.869.3
Auto22.3
Teleop48.2
End5.0
Second
30.30.4
25.726.1
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.7
red by 16.0
9993
#15
14.30.9
16.515.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.2
End0.5
Third
9994
#16
15.00.6
8.69.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End-0.1
red by 2.1
12.90.5
15.414.9
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned