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Red136
78147.1
61048.8
7717.9
Blue146
18843.5
755851.6
613513.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10711480100120140160136146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +4
21Coral scored#20
74Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
100Total teleop96
Reef
12L4#7
7L3#7
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
136Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
48.80.6
48.348.8
Auto6.1
Teleop42.2
End0.5
blue by 2.8
51.60.7
51.051.6
Auto11.8
Teleop31.9
End8.0
Second
781
#6
47.10.6
46.547.1
Auto12.1
Teleop32.5
End2.5
red by 3.5
188
#5
43.50.7
42.843.5
Auto9.5
Teleop31.7
End2.4
Third
771
#28
7.90.6
7.37.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End2.0
blue by 5.8
6135
#21
13.60.7
13.013.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.9