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Red111
885012.1
906221.5
131027.6
Blue15
1063410.2
85411.9
97827.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61390208010011115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+52Teleop
+50Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +55
10Coral scored#0
35Coral points0
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
55Total teleop0
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#0
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +96
46Foul points0
111Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#12
27.61.4
23.224.6
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End6.0
red by 15.6
854
#22
11.92.4
7.85.3
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Second
9062
#19
21.51.4
14.315.7
Auto3.3
Teleop17.8
End0.4
red by 11.3
10.22.4
13.411.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End0.1
Third
8850
#29
12.11.4
15.016.4
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End0.8
red by 4.4
9782
#23
7.72.4
15.813.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed