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Red111
888439.4
219815.1
61048.8
Blue77
503223.0
613513.6
752040.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9157020408010012014011177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +27
18Coral scored#10
64Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
82Total teleop55
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
111Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
48.81.9
39.241.1
Auto6.1
Teleop42.2
End0.5
red by 8.1
40.72.2
28.230.5
Auto9.9
Teleop29.4
End1.5
Second
8884
#11
39.43.2
27.030.2
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End2.0
red by 16.5
5032
#16
23.02.2
19.021.2
Auto2.8
Teleop17.9
End2.3
Third
2198
#10
15.13.2
15.919.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End2.6
red by 1.5
6135
#21
13.62.2
9.912.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed